The Redmond Group

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S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Indices Show Mixed Readings in March

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S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Indices Show Mixed Readings in MarchMarch readings for the S&P Case-Shiller National Home Price Index showed that month-to-month home prices rose by 0.40 percent in March. The 20-City Home Price Index, which is considered a benchmark indicator by U.S. real estate professionals, rose by 0.50 percent month-to-month in March but posted a negative reading of -1.10 percent year-over-year. Analysts said that the slim supply of homes for sale drove up prices as demand for homes exceeded available inventory.

Homeowners took a “wait and see” position as mortgage rates rose and concerns over the economy persisted. Those who refinanced their mortgages to low rates during the pandemic weren’t looking to buy new homes or refinance at current mortgage rates near seven percent. Prospective homebuyers faced affordability challenges and concerns over buying at the top of their local real estate markets.

Southeast leads the  U.S. in home price growth

U.S. home price growth dominated the S&P Case-Shillere 20-City Home Price Index in March; the top three cities reporting the highest year-over-year home price appreciation rates were Miami, Florida with 7.7 percent growth. Tampa, Florida reported 4.8 percent home price growth and Charlotte, North Carolina held third place with 4.7 percent year-over-year home price growth.

The Western region continued to lag as year-over-year home prices fell by -1.10 percent from March 2022 to March 2023 as compared with 0.40 percent year-over-year growth in February. Data included in S&P Case-Shiller readings are seasonally adjusted. All 20 cities reported home price gains on a month-to-month basis, which indicates that housing prices continue to recover from the lows that occurred during the pandemic. Home prices will indicate further developments in the economic recovery based on how home prices and sales perform during the typically busy summer home-buying season. 

FHFA reports 3.6 percent year-over-year home price growth in March

The Federal Housing Finance Agency, which oversees government-sponsored mortgage enterprises Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, reported 3.6 percent seasonally-adjusted year-over-year growth in home prices for U.S.  properties owned and sold by the two government-sponsored organizations. FHFA reported regional home price growth rates for the nine U.S. Census divisions; month-to-month results ranged from -10 percent in the Pacific division to 1.20 percent growth in the Mountain division. 

Does My Current Debt Affect Getting A New Mortgage?

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Does My Current Debt Affect Getting A New MortgageWhen you apply for a new mortgage, the lender will evaluate your creditworthiness to determine whether to approve your application and what terms and interest rate to offer you. Your existing debt can affect your creditworthiness in several ways:

Debt-to-income ratio (DTI): Your DTI ratio is the percentage of your monthly income that goes towards paying off debt. Lenders typically want to see a DTI ratio of 43% or less, meaning your debt payments don’t exceed 43% of your gross monthly income. If your existing debt is high, your DTI ratio will be high, and lenders may view you as a riskier borrower. This can make it more difficult to qualify for a new mortgage or result in a higher interest rate.

Credit score: Your credit score is a numerical representation of your creditworthiness, based on your credit history. If you have existing debt and have been making late payments or defaulting on payments, your credit score may have taken a hit. This can make it more difficult to qualify for a new mortgage or result in a higher interest rate.

Payment history: Your payment history is a record of how consistently you have made payments on your existing debt. If you have a history of late payments or defaulting on payments, this can signal to lenders that you may be a riskier borrower, which can make it more difficult to qualify for a new mortgage or result in a higher interest rate.

Available funds for down payment: If you have existing debt, you may not have as much money available for a down payment on a new mortgage. This can make it more difficult to qualify for a new mortgage or result in a higher interest rate.

Overall debt load: Lenders will also consider your overall debt load when evaluating your creditworthiness. If your existing debt is high relative to your income and assets, this can make it more difficult to qualify for a new mortgage or result in a higher interest rate.

In summary, your existing debt can affect your ability to qualify for a new mortgage by increasing your DTI ratio, lowering your credit score, affecting your payment history, limiting your funds for a down payment, and increasing your overall debt load.

It’s important to manage your debt carefully and maintain a good credit score if you’re planning to apply for a new mortgage. By evaluating the following and staying on track, you can ensure that you’re ready for the financial responsibilities of a mortgage and can make an informed decision about homeownership.

An Overview Of Mortgage Points

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An Overview Of Mortgage PointsMortgage points, also known as discount points or origination points, are fees paid by borrowers at closing to reduce the interest rate on their mortgage loan. Each point typically costs 1% of the total loan amount and can lower the interest rate by anywhere from 0.125% to 0.25%.

There are two types of mortgage points: discount points and origination points. Discount points are used to buy down the interest rate on the loan, while origination points are used to cover the lender’s administrative costs.

Borrowers may choose to pay mortgage points in order to lower their monthly mortgage payments or to reduce the overall amount of interest paid over the life of the loan. However, paying points may not always be the best financial decision, as it depends on factors such as the borrower’s financial situation, the length of time they plan to stay in the home, and the current interest rate environment.

It is important for borrowers to carefully consider the costs and benefits of paying mortgage points, and to compare offers from multiple lenders to ensure they are getting the best deal possible.

When to Use Mortgage Points

Mortgage points can be used by borrowers to lower the interest rate on their mortgage loan and potentially save money on interest over the life of the loan. However, whether or not it makes sense to pay mortgage points depends on a variety of factors, including the borrower’s financial situation, the length of time they plan to stay in the home, and the current interest rate environment.

Here are a few situations where it may make sense to use mortgage points:

  • Long-term homeownership: If a borrower plans to stay in their home for a long period of time, paying mortgage points upfront to lower the interest rate could result in significant long-term savings.
  • High-interest rates: When interest rates are high, paying mortgage points may be a good strategy for reducing the interest rate and lowering monthly mortgage payments.
  • Large loan amounts: Borrowers with large loan amounts may benefit from paying mortgage points to reduce the interest rate and save money over the life of the loan.
  • Strong financial position: Borrowers with strong financial positions, including a high credit score and stable income, may be more likely to qualify for lower interest rates and may benefit from paying mortgage points to lower the rate even further.

The decision to pay mortgage points should be based on a careful analysis of your unique financial situation and goals and should take into account the costs and benefits of paying points compared to other options.

What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week – May 30, 2023

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What's Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week - May 29, 2023Last week’s economic news included readings on new and pending home sales and inflation. The final monthly reading for May consumer sentiment was released along with weekly readings on mortgage rates and jobless claims.

Shortage of previously-owned homes for sale directs buyers to new homes

Homeowners weren’t in a hurry to sell their homes due to the low mortgage rates they obtained during the pandemic. Current mortgage rates are higher than pandemic-era rates, which influenced homeowners to stay in their homes and keep their lower existing mortgage rates. Home buyers turned to new home developments as an alternative to shopping for a home within the slim supply of available previously-owned homes.

The number of pending home sales was unchanged from March as compared to the expected reading of an 0.80 percent increase in pending sales and the March reading of a -5.20 percent decrease in pending home sales. Rising mortgage rates and concerns over the economy sidelined some sellers and would-be home buyers. Rising inflation continued to impact consumers as prices for goods and services rose by 0.40 percent in April as compared to the March increase of 0.10 percent. Year-over-year inflation rose to 4.40 percent in April as compared to the March year-over-year inflation reading of 4.20 percent. 

Consumer concerns about inflation and recession were supported by the government-sponsored mortgage organization  Fannie Mae, which predicted a recession in the second half of 2023.

Fed forecasts a recession and raises key interest rate range

The minutes of the Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting revealed that policymakers were divided on the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decision to raise its key interest-rate range to 5.00 percent and 5.25 percent. Some Fed members indicated that May’s interest rate hike may be the last for the near future as expectations of a recession rose. 

Mortgage rates and jobless claims rise

Freddie Mac reported higher mortgage rates last week as the average rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages rose by 18 basis points to 6.57 percent. The average rate for 15-year fixed-rate mortgages rose by 22 basis points to 5.97 percent.

229,000 new jobless claims were filed last week; this reading fell short of the expected reading of 245,000 initial claims filed and exceeded the prior week’s reading of 225,000 claims filed.

What’s Ahead

This week’s scheduled economic reporting includes readings on public and private-sector jobs and the national unemployment rate. Weekly readings on mortgage rates and jobless claims will also be released. 

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Joel & Jodi Redmond
17047 El Camino Real
Suite 150
Houston, TX 77058